KeptBase · the outside view
How often are promises like this kept?
Before a company announces a date, or an investor relies on one, the best first question is not “do we believe them?” but “how often does this kind of promise land on time?” KeptBase answers it from 7,068 checked corporate outcomes since 2016.
Look up a base rate
– delivered on time
And when they are late, how late?
Same build snapshot as the quality page. The count here is smaller than “clear outcomes” there because KeptBase uses only S&P 500 members whose commitment has a known type and horizon, and only met, late and not-met outcomes. Rates are confirmed and unconfirmed outcomes together; small cells carry wide uncertainty and are left blank below 20.
Delays measured on 882 commitments that were delivered late, from the deadline the company set to the date delivery was shown.
The full table
On-time rate by kind of commitment and horizon, any listed company. Cells with fewer than 20 outcomes are left blank rather than guessed.
| Kind of commitment | Under 6 months | 6 to 12 months | Over 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deal or transaction closing | 82% (1561) | 77% (519) | 72% (144) |
| Product launch or release | 75% (774) | 68% (397) | 53% (242) |
| Regulatory filing or approval step | 75% (236) | 64% (102) | 53% (36) |
| Project milestone | 67% (994) | 67% (622) | 64% (347) |
| New facility, plant or site | 70% (462) | 65% (345) | 56% (287) |
Who uses the outside view
Companies, before announcing
If promises like yours land on time less than six times in ten, announce a wider window or a firmer plan. A date you keep builds credibility; a date you miss costs it, and can invite claims.
Investors, before relying
Start from the base rate, then adjust for what you know about the company. An 18-month approval step is a very different bet from a 3-month deal closing.
Lenders and project teams, before scheduling
Use the delay figures as a buffer: if one late project in four slips four months or more, a contingency of one month is not a plan.
Preliminary, October 2026. Most outcomes are machine-checked (measured outcome accuracy 89%); figures are recalculated with every site update and restated after each audit. Aggregate only: no company is named or scored here. Not investment advice. Method: Methodology.
Check a draft announcement
Send us the dated commitments in a draft release, and we will return the base rate and delay range for each, privately.