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KeptIndex

Early warning Beta · research use

Before a deadline arrives, companies often signal trouble themselves: they move the date, cut the target, or soften “will” to “expects” or “aims”. KeptIndex records every restatement as a new version, so these signals are visible the day they are made.

73%met on time when the company never restated the commitment (6,469 outcomes)
54%met on time when the company had already moved the date (544)
57%met on time when the wording had softened (60)
23open commitments showing at least one signal today

Outcomes are always measured against the original commitment. Rates come from every settled outcome on record and are recalculated with each build. A signal is a fact about what the company said, not a prediction about it. Dates shown are the SEC filing dates, the first day each statement was public in the filing record. Since 21 October 2026 a restatement counts only when it names the same programme as the original: statements about a different programme are removed and logged, and weak matches are left out of these signals until confirmed. If a signal still looks wrong, report it and it is reviewed and corrected in the public log.

Open commitments with a warning signal

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Peoples Bancorp Inc.PEBO Close the merger with Citizens
Original and latest wording

5 Oct 2026 (first public in this SEC filing), due on October 30: “we are on schedule to close Citizens on October 30.”

26 Oct 2026 (SEC filing), due at the end of this month: “We are working to close the Citizens merger at the end of this month.”

Date moved 1 days later 30 Oct 20263 days left
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.ASTS Deploy 45 to 60 satellites into orbit
Original and latest wording

11 Aug 2025 (first public in this SEC filing), due by 2026: “deploy 45 to 60 satellites into orbit by 2026”

10 Aug 2026 (SEC filing), due early 2027: “target of approximately 45 satellites in orbit in early 2027”

Date moved 90 days laterTarget cut 25% 31 Dec 202665 days left
Tyra Biosciences, Inc.TYRA Report interim results from the BEACH301 safety sentinel cohort
Original and latest wording

5 Nov 2025 (first public in this SEC filing), due 2H 2026: “The Company remains on track to report interim results from the safety sentinel cohort in 2H 2026.”

4 Aug 2026 (SEC filing), due end of Q1 2027: “Initial Ph2 data from safety sentinel cohort (aggregate of ~25 children) in BEACH301, including new 5th dose level, now expected end of Q1 2027”

Date moved 90 days laterWording softened: firm → expected 31 Dec 202665 days left
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.ASTS Launch approximately 60 satellites
Original and latest wording

4 Mar 2025 (first public in this SEC filing), due during 2025 and 2026: “contracted launch capacity now for ~60 satellites during 2025 and 2026”

11 Feb 2026 (SEC filing), due by the end of 2026: “plan to launch approximately 45 to 60 Block 2 BB satellites by the end of 2026”

Target cut 25% 31 Dec 202665 days left
Boeing Co.BA Make first delivery of the 777-9 aircraft
Original and latest wording

11 Oct 2024 (first public in this SEC filing), due in 2026: “The company now anticipates first delivery of the 777-9 in 2026 and the 777-8 freighter in 2028”

29 Oct 2025 (SEC filing), due in 2027: “the company updated its assessment of the 777-9 certification timeline and now anticipates first delivery in 2027”

Date moved 365 days later 31 Dec 202665 days left
CF IndustriesCF Resume ammonia production at the Yazoo City Complex
Original and latest wording

18 Feb 2026 (first public in this SEC filing), due fourth quarter of 2026: “Management does not expect production to resume at the Yazoo City Complex until the fourth quarter of 2026 at the earliest”

5 Aug 2026 (SEC filing), due 1H 2027: “Yazoo City Complex expected to resume ammonia, ammonium nitrate solution, nitric acid, urea ammonium nitrate solution and urea liquor production during 1H 2027”

Date moved 181 days later 31 Dec 202665 days left
CortevaCTVA Complete the planned separation
Original and latest wording

3 Feb 2026 (first public in this SEC filing), due second half of 2026: “we are on track to complete the separation in the second half of 2026”

30 Jul 2026 (SEC filing), due October 1: “Corteva remains on-track to complete the planned separation, targeting October 1 Vylor spin-off date”

Wording softened: firm → aspirational 31 Dec 202665 days left
Ford Motor CompanyF Begin production of an all-new commercial van at the Ohio Assembly Plant
Original and latest wording

21 Aug 2024 (first public in this SEC filing), due 2026: “a commercial van that will be assembled at Ford’s Ohio Assembly Plant starting in 2026”

15 Dec 2025 (SEC filing), due starting in 2029: “assembling the new gas- and hybrid-powered commercial van starting in 2029”

Date moved 1096 days later 31 Dec 202665 days left
Freeport-McMoRanFCX Commence restart of production block PB1S
Original and latest wording

24 Sep 2025 (first public in this SEC filing), due in the second half of 2026: “followed by a third production block “PB1S” in the second half of 2026”

18 Nov 2025 (SEC filing), due mid-2027: “PB1S Restart mid-2027”

Date moved 181 days later 31 Dec 202665 days left
Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.HII Deliver CVN 792 aircraft carrier
Original and latest wording

6 Feb 2025 (first public in this SEC filing), due 2026: “Deliver CVN 792”

31 Jul 2025 (SEC filing), due 2027: “CVN 79 Delivery Moved to 2027”

Date moved 365 days later 31 Dec 202665 days left
Lincoln Educational Services Corp.LINC Begin enrollment at the Hicksville, New York campus
Original and latest wording

23 Feb 2026 (first public in this SEC filing), due fourth quarter of this year: “our new campuses in Hicksville, New York and Rowlett, Texas remain on schedule to begin enrollment during the fourth quarter of this year”

11 May 2026 (SEC filing), due first quarter of next year: “the development of our new Hicksville, New York and Rowlett, Texas campuses remain on schedule to begin enrollment ... first quarter of next year, respectively.”

Date moved 90 days later 31 Dec 202665 days left
Pinnacle West CapitalPNW Place the Sundance Expansion project in service
Original and latest wording

1 Aug 2024 (first public in this SEC filing), due 2026: “Sundance Expansion 90 2026 Contracted”

1 May 2025 (SEC filing), due 2028: “Redhawk Expansion 397 2028 Contracted”

Date moved 731 days later 31 Dec 202665 days left
WEC Energy GroupWEC Retire Oak Creek Units 7-8 (611 MW) of coal generation
Original and latest wording

5 Jan 2026 (first public in this SEC filing), due targeting end of 2026: “Oak Creek Units 7-8: 611 MW (targeting end of 2026)”

11 May 2026 (SEC filing), due targeting end of 2027: “Retirements planned: Oak Creek Units 7-8: 611 MW (targeting end of 2027)”

Date moved 365 days later 31 Dec 202665 days left
Flex Ltd.FLEX Complete the separation of Cloud and Power Infrastructure segment into independent company Axiom
Original and latest wording

15 Sep 2026 (first public in this SEC filing), due first quarter of calendar 2027: “The planned separation is expected to be completed in the first quarter of calendar 2027”

5 Oct 2026 (SEC filing), due in the first quarter of calendar 2027: “Flex intends to separate Axiom into an independent, publicly traded company in the first quarter of calendar 2027”

Wording softened: expected → aspirational 31 Mar 2027155 days left
Kinder MorganKMI Place the first phase of the Trident Intrastate Pipeline in service
Original and latest wording

21 Jan 2026 (first public in this SEC filing), due in the first quarter of 2027: “KMI expects to place the first phase of the project in service in the first quarter of 2027”

22 Apr 2026 (SEC filing), due in the fourth quarter of 2028: “KMI expects the second phase to be placed in service in the fourth quarter of 2028.”

Date moved 641 days later 31 Mar 2027155 days left
Peoples Bancorp Inc.PEBO Close the acquisition of Capital Bancorp, Inc
Original and latest wording

30 Sep 2026 (first public in this SEC filing), due during the first half of 2027: “The acquisition is expected to close during the first half of 2027, subject to the satisfaction of customary closing conditions”

26 Oct 2026 (SEC filing), due in 2027: “the pending acquisition of Capital Bancorp, which we expect to close in 2027.”

Date moved 184 days later 30 Jun 2027246 days left
Iron MountainIRM Energize 450 MW of data center capacity
Original and latest wording

5 Nov 2025 (first public in this SEC filing), due In the next 24 months: “In the next 24 months, we have ~450 MW of capacity energizing”

30 Apr 2026 (SEC filing), due in the next 18 months: “including ~175 MW in the next 18 months”

Date moved 152 days laterTarget cut 11% 30 Nov 2027399 days left
Nextera Energy Inc.NEE Close the all-stock combination with Dominion Energy, Inc
Original and latest wording

18 May 2026 (first public in this SEC filing), due in 12 to 18 months: “The transaction is expected to close in 12 to 18 months, subject to customary closing conditions and approvals by the shareholders of NextEra Energy and Dominion Energy”

21 Oct 2026 (SEC filing), due in the second half of 2027: “The companies continue to expect the combination to close in the second half of 2027.”

Date moved 31 days later 30 Nov 2027399 days left
PaccarPCAR Start production at the Amplify Cell Technologies battery factory
Original and latest wording

23 Jul 2024 (first public in this SEC filing), due in 2027: “The factory is expected to start production in 2027.”

21 Oct 2025 (SEC filing), due in 2028: “The factory is targeting start of battery cell production in 2028.”

Date moved 366 days laterWording softened: expected → aspirational 31 Dec 2027430 days left
Eos Energy Enterprises, Inc.EOSE Expand manufacturing capacity to 8 GWh
Original and latest wording

3 Dec 2024 (first public in this SEC filing), due by 2027: “expected to fund the expansion of Eos’ manufacturing capacity to 8 GWh by 2027”

6 May 2025 (SEC filing), due by year-end: “Eos is in the process of expanding its first manufacturing line from 1.25 GWh to 2 GWh in annualized capacity by year-end”

Target cut 75% 31 Dec 2027430 days left
Marathon PetroleumMPC Complete the first Gulf Coast fractionation facility
Original and latest wording

3 Feb 2026 (first public in this SEC filing), due in 2028: “These fractionation facilities are expected in service in 2028 and 2029.”

4 Aug 2026 (SEC filing), due 2029: “Gulf Coast Fractionators... Frac II: 2029”

Date moved 365 days later 31 Dec 2028796 days left
Rubico Inc.RUBI Take delivery of the first newbuilding MR tanker
Original and latest wording

6 Oct 2026 (first public in this SEC filing), due the second quarter of 2029: “The Newbuilding MR Tanker is scheduled for delivery in the second quarter of 2029.”

19 Oct 2026 (SEC filing), due the... fourth quarters of 2029: “three 47,499 dwt MR tanker newbuildings scheduled for delivery in the second, third and fourth quarters of 2029”

Date moved 184 days later 30 Jun 2029977 days left
Pinnacle West CapitalPNW Complete the Ocotillo to Pinnacle Peak 230 kV transmission line
Original and latest wording

6 Nov 2024 (first public in this SEC filing), due 2029: “Ocotillo to Pinnacle Peak 25 230 kV Siting in progress 2029”

6 May 2026 (SEC filing), due 2030: “Pinnacle Peak to Ocotillo ~50 mi/230kV 2030”

Date moved 365 days later 31 Dec 20291,161 days left

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